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Crown Green Handicap

Chris Auty

Team: Pensby CDivision: Division CLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

740

Current Handicap

11
Honours
Season:

10

Matches Played

4

Wins

6

Losses

40%

Win Rate

5.3

Avg Win Margin

9.7

Avg Loss Margin

2-4

Home Record

2-2

Away Record

9%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
10 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/4/2021

Only 10 of the 33 matches needed for full confidence in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 152/15

Season Highlights

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 10 matches

+11 Rising
15 Jun23 Jun8 Jul27 Jul4 Aug-13714
Started0
Lowest0
Current11
Win Percentage(35%)
40%
score-0.20→contribution-0.07
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
5.3
score-0.46→contribution-0.11
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
9.7
score-0.28→contribution-0.04
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
40%
score-0.20→contribution-0.02
Opponent Strength(15%)
943
score-0.26→contribution-0.04
Weighted Score-0.282
Sample Size Confidence
9%(10/33 matches)
Rating887 → shrunk 990→ adjusted 740
Handicap
11

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

4W6L10 matches·40% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Pensby C2021Division C104640%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/4/2021vs Thingwall BH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
8/3/2021Ray WhartonA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision C
7/27/2021Phil SpencerA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision C
7/21/2021vs Pt Sunlight Vill & Wks BH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision C
7/8/2021Philip JonesH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision C
6/30/2021vs Bromborough Pool BH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision C
6/23/2021vs Pensby BH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision C
6/16/2021vs Bebington ParkH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision C
6/15/2021Kerys FreemanA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision C
6/8/2021Ross MilliganA3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision C

Current Streak

1losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

2

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

2

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
LWLLW
Last 1040% win rate— steady
LWLLWWLLWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Thingwall B0110%8/4/2021
Ray Wharton101100%8/3/2021
Phil Spencer0110%7/27/2021
Pt Sunlight Vill & Wks B0110%7/21/2021
Philip Jones101100%7/8/2021
Bromborough Pool B101100%6/30/2021
Pensby B0110%6/23/2021
Bebington Park0110%6/16/2021
Kerys Freeman101100%6/15/2021
Ross Milligan0110%6/8/2021
Biggest Win
Kerys Freeman (+9)6/15/2021
Heaviest Defeat
Ross Milligan (-18)6/8/2021
Best Season
202140% · 10 matches
Worst Season
202140% · 10 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
40% → 40%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
8574 known · 6 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
2-250% win rate
Division C40%
4W·6L·10 played

Debut

Jun 8, 2021

Latest

Aug 4, 2021

Seasons Active

1 (2 mo span)

Matches / Season

10.0 (10 total)

Seasons

2021